Doklam Standoff: Why The Dragon Is Spitting Fire

SHARE:

  Indian officials have said that the road construction by the PLA is aimed at getting closer to Doka La, the last Indian military post on its bo...

Bloody Friday: 11 Killings In One Day Proves Kashmir Is On Edge
Victory Always Comes With Responsibility: Tariq Mughloo
Slow And Steady : Emirati Women’s Empowerment In The UAE

 

Indian officials have said that the road construction by the PLA is aimed at getting closer to Doka La, the last Indian military post on its border with Bhutan. On its part, China has repeatedly asserted its claim over Donglang (Doklam) and accused Indian troops of trespassing.

Brig. Anil Gupta

The standoff between the Chinese and Indian troops at Doklam Plateau in Bhutan has started causing anxiety among many countrymen. Different voices are being raised, some sane, some insane and some belligerent. The issue has been discussed widely in the media both print and electronic. The Government of India so far has remained calm and balanced and refused to be cowed down by unusually hostile government controlled Chinese media and also remained unprovoked by the advice and hysterical rhetoric of many self-styled China watchers and strategic experts. The government is trying to diffuse the tension diplomatically and has also taken the opposition parties into confidence. But why is it that China is refusing to come to the negotiating table and not cooperating in defusing the tension?

A lot has been written about the nature and cause of conflict, the terrain and its strategic importance for both the nations as well as the comparative tactical military advantage which India enjoys in the current standoff. Hence I would avoid repetition. An important issue in this case is that the disputed territory belongs to Bhutan but the standoff is between the armies of India and China.  For this, it is important for the readers to understand the special relationship that exists between the two South Asian neighbours namely India and Bhutan. Traditionally the Kingdom of Bhutan and India have enjoyed very friendly and cordial relations. India’s contribution towards building of modern infrastructure in Bhutan has been tremendous. Both the countries have signed treaties for cooperation and defence as early as 1949 and the latest being the Indo-Bhutan Treaty of Friendship 2007.

Article 2 of the Treaty states, “In keeping with the abiding ties of close friendship and cooperation between Bhutan and India, the Government of the Kingdom of Bhutan and the Government of the Republic of India shall cooperate closely with each other on issues relating to their national interests. Neither Government shall allow the use of its territory for activities harmful to the national security and interest of the other”.

To honour the said treaty Indian troops had to enter Bhutan where China was constructing a road from Senchen La, located at the southern tip of Chumbi Valley, upto Zompleri, sole Bhutanese border outpost in Western Bhutan guarding the Doklam plateau. China claims Doklam plateau, an 89 sq km pasture that falls close to Chumbi valley at the corner of India-Bhutan-China tri-junction and is not very far from the Sikkim sector.  China, citing the 1890 China-Britain treaty, calls Doklam (referred by China as Donglang) its own while Bhutan has disputed the fact saying the convention applies to the India-Bhutan border, not Bhutan and China. By revoking 1890 treaty China has added a new strategy to the border dispute called “lawfare.”

Lawfare is defined as a ‘strategy of using-or misusing-law as a substitute for traditional military means to achieve an operational objective.’ India also needs to develop a resource-pool for exploitation of ‘lawfare’ to counter growing Chinese assertiveness and resolve other issues with its neighbours to its advantage using legal provisions. 

Indian officials have said that the road construction by the PLA is aimed at getting closer to Doka La, the last Indian military post on its border with Bhutan. On its part, China has repeatedly asserted its claim over Donglang (Doklam) and accused Indian troops of trespassing.

“In order to cover up the illegal entry by Indian troops into the Chinese territory, Indian side wants to infringe upon Bhutan’s sovereignty and they try to confuse right from wrong. This is futile. We have no objection to normal bilateral relations between India and Bhutan but are firmly opposed to the Indian side infringing on Chinese territory using Bhutan as an excuse,” said Geng Shuang, Chinese spokesperson. 

China has launched a disinformation campaign to mislead the international opinion. The fact is that for several decades, China has accused India of forcing Bhutan not to allow opening of its diplomatic mission in Thimphu. At present, only India and Bangladesh have embassies in Bhutan, and Bhutan maintains contacts with China through the Chinese Embassy in New Delhi. China is not happy with status quo and wants this to be altered in its favour and hence trying to bully Bhutan.

The current standoff is not only a border issue but a territorial issue as well. Forcible occupation of other nation’s territory has been part of the Chinese statecraft from the imperial days and is being faithfully followed by the present Communist regime. China is used to bullying its neighbours to submit to its demands and diktats. That is why it solved its land border disputes with other neighbours when it was in a comparatively stronger position viz a viz the adversary nation. With India, China had not been very keen for early resolution of the border disputes because it perceives India as a competitor towards gaining strategic space in the emerging world order. It wants to keep India permanently anxious and unbalanced. “A frontier of thousands of miles between two powerful nations holding each other in mutual contempt seems to point at anything but peace.” India-China relations have been growing steadily except the security relations. The security relations between the two countries cannot improve till there is a disputed border. Demarcated border is not the only dispute but also China’s claim to a large chunk of Indian Territory including the entire state of Arunachal Pradesh. That is why it is no longer talking about “as-is-where-is” settlement.

India has always been keen for early resolution of the border issue but the Chinese had been dilly-dallying saying “to leave it for future generations to resolve”. Ever since the rise of Xi Jinping in China there has been a shift in Chinese stand and it is also talking of settling the border dispute early in China’s favour. In the Chinese perception due to its massive economic growth and conversion of People’s Liberation Army (PLA) into a modern war machine with dominance in cyber space and adequately high Comprehensive National Power (CNP), a window of opportunity exists for China to force India to agree to border resolution according to the Chinese terms. It also apprehends that way India is marching ahead, the window may not be available beyond 2020. By choosing the present site of standoff it desires to kill two birds with one stone because it feels that if India succumbs to the pressure Bhutan automatically will.

A brief peep into the Chinese mind set will help the readers understanding the China’s intent more clearly. According to a senior general of PLA, “When a nation grows strong enough, it practices hegemony. The sole purpose of power is to pursue even greater power——–Geography is destiny——-When a country begins to rise, it shall first set itself in an invincible position”. The dragon is riled due to India’s constant refusal to accept Chinese hegemony but pursue her independent path based on her national interests. China is annoyed due to many recent moves of the Modi Government and hence manipulated the current standoff in exasperation.Coercion forms an important ingredient of Chinese war fighting doctrine. One of the important phases of Chinese military strategy is, “Achievement of Political Objectives through Coercion”. China is an ardent advocate and practitioner of coercive security strategy “Shi” to secure advantage. To quote Sun Tzu, “To win one hundred victory in one hundred battles is not the acme of skill. To subdue the enemy without fighting is the acme of skill”. China fears that post 2020 scenario may not be conducive for coercion because of a resurgent and assertive India.
China on its part is going ahead with containment of India with a view to keep India confined to the back waters of Indian Ocean. Its policy of string of pearls and the Belt Road Initiative (BRI) is aimed to contain India. The first ever Chinese military base abroad at Djibouti in Horn of Africa is also meant to allow PLANavy (PLAN) to challenge Indian Navy in Indian Ocean. China Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) and development of Gwader port will provide enough strategic leverage to challenge India’s might in the region. The presence of Chinese troops in POJK and their reported presence in terror training camps has added a new dimension to the prevailing security scenario in J&K. Mehbooba is not talking off the cough and she needs to be taken seriously when she refers to “external forces meddling in Kashmir affairs”. China has deliberately propped up Pakistan as an adversary of India and is providing financial, military, nuclear and moral support to Pakistan to continue to wage the proxy war. Terrorism and radicalisation are a means to an end. The end being “to contain India and weaken the Indian economy”. Pakistan is like a monkey on our back.

Having highlighted the Chinese intent, the readers need to understand the Chinese objectives in the current standoff.

These could be summarised as: test the resolve of Modi government against Chinese hegemony despite strong signals to the contrary; to coerce India to withdraw her troops from Bhutan so that it can grab the strategic Doklam plateau thus threatening the Siliguri Corridor and deny a launch pad to Indian troops; force India to permit construction of the road so that it can then do the same in Gilgit-Baltistan to complete its prestigious CPEC project; portray India as an undependable ally to the Royal Government of Bhutan and force it to have direct diplomatic ties with China side lining India; pressurise India to join the BRI, the project aimed at strengthening Chinese hegemony; reduce growing Indian influence among SAARC nations and wean them towards China; keep India on tenterhooks as far as the Siliguri corridor, India’s lifeline to North-East, is concerned and fuel insurgent movements in NE; to brow beat India to submit to Chinese dominance in Indo-Pacific region and stay away from the South China Sea region and snub India because of her growing strategic relations with USA, Japan and Israel.

India’s approach so far has been very mature and worthy of a nation that is shedding the image of a “soft state”. India’s strategy revolves around both side honouring the 2012 Agreement signed by the ‘two sides’ coupled with matching military response locally. India should continue to strive to find a diplomatic solution and not succumb to Chinese manipulations and threats. Any unilateral withdrawal by India will be suicidal. India’s National Security Adviser AjitDoval is scheduled to visit Beijing on July 26 to attend the meeting of NSAs from BRICS — Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa. He is expected to raise the issue with his Chinese counterpart Yang Jiechi. Hopefully by then Chinese would have been convinced of India’s resolve to not to give in to the coercive strategy of China.

(The author is a Jammu based political commentator, columnist, security and strategic analyst. The author has served in Bhutan and was dealing with operations. He can be contacted at anil5457@gmail.com.) The views expressed are personal. 

 

 

COMMENTS

Close
Please support the site
By clicking any of these buttons you help our site to get better